Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Apr 28, 2026
EPS actual
$-0.02
EPS est.
$0.06
EPS surprise
-139.73%
1-day move
-11.34%
Sportradar's earnings report shows a significant EPS miss, indicating challenges in profitability. However, the stock rose by 4.82%, likely due to market optimism about future operational improvements despite the disappointing results. Investors may be reacting to management's commitment to addressing current issues.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.02 | $0.05 | -139.73% |
| Revenue | N/A | $362M | N/A |
Management expressed concern over the unexpected EPS loss but highlighted their commitment to strategic initiatives. They did not provide specific guidance for future quarters.
Management acknowledged the challenges faced in the quarter.
They emphasized ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency.
Sportradar Group AG is a leading provider of sports data and technology, primarily serving the gaming and betting industries. As a player in the consumer discretionary sector, it benefits from trends in sports betting and gaming, which have seen increased interest and regulation in various markets.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Sportradar reported an EPS of $0.01, significantly missing the estimate of $0.10, which led to a stock drop of nearly 10% the following day. This performance raised concerns about the company's ability to meet market expectations.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
38%
Avg EPS surprise
+58.08%
Avg 1-day reaction
-2.94%
Analysts are cautiously optimistic, expecting Sportradar to report an EPS of $0.05 and revenue of $362M. However, given the recent earnings misses, there is skepticism about whether the company can meet these targets.
Bull case
If Sportradar can deliver on its revenue and EPS estimates, it may signal a turnaround in performance, potentially boosting investor confidence and stock price.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses again, it could further erode trust in management's ability to execute, leading to a significant drop in stock value.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.05Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.
Revenue
$362MTotal revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand for its services.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Sportradar achieve its consensus EPS target of $0.05?
This metric is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses.
Q2
What specific revenue growth strategies will management outline?
Understanding management's approach to driving revenue is essential for assessing future performance.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for Sportradar to recover, given its recent focus on enhancing partnerships and data offerings.
Supporting evidence
The company has a history of bouncing back after earnings misses, as seen in previous quarters.
Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating heightened expectations.
Management's commitment to cost management may not be fully reflected in current consensus estimates.
Key risk
If management provides strong guidance on revenue growth, it could significantly shift market sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is watching closely for signs of recovery after a series of disappointing earnings.
Bull confirmed if
Achieving an EPS of $0.05 or better would confirm the bull case and indicate a recovery in profitability.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.05 would validate concerns about ongoing operational challenges.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±19.64%
Historical Avg
±9.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, reflecting uncertainty about the upcoming earnings report.
Options are pricing ±15.4% while SRAD has averaged ±9.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.9%
30d HV
90.5%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
86.12%
of float
Insider
1.98%
of float
Holders
182
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board
68,171,745 sh · $822.2M
30.79%
Flat
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Sportradar beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +2.6%, confirming a positive turnaround.
In line / cautious
An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await clearer guidance on future growth.
Miss
If the company misses expectations again, history indicates a potential drop of around -0.19%, further damaging investor sentiment.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Technology Crossover Management IX, Ltd.
29,203,147 sh · $352.2M
13.19%
Flat
Radcliff Management Llc
13,135,000 sh · $158.4M
5.93%
Flat
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
10,140,535 sh · $122.3M
4.58%
-18.3%
Spruce House Investment Management LLC
9,155,000 sh · $110.4M
4.14%
232.9%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.