Equity Profile

SRAD

Sportradar Group AG

Consumer DiscretionaryCasinos & Gaming$4.0B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Sportradar Group AG operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on the casinos and gaming industry. The company provides data and technology solutions for sports and gaming, making it a key player in the growing market of sports betting and digital gaming.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating profit.

$0.07

Revenue

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and sustain operations.

$382M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SRAD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+60.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.85%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Sportradar reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly missing the estimate of $0.06. This disappointing performance led to a stock decline of 11.34% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Sportradar's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a modest EPS of $0.07 and revenue of $382M. However, the company has struggled with recent earnings misses, raising concerns.

Bull Case

If Sportradar can meet or exceed the consensus estimates, it may signal a turnaround in profitability and growth, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

A continuation of earnings misses could further erode investor trust and lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent performance history.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.07

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating profit.

Revenue

$382M

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and sustain operations.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Sportradar achieve an EPS of at least $0.07?

This figure is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses and will indicate the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

What are the revenue growth prospects compared to the consensus of $382M?

Revenue performance will be a key indicator of market demand and the company's competitive position in the gaming industry.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Sportradar's potential for a rebound, given its strong data capabilities and the growing sports betting market.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, Sportradar has a solid foundation in data analytics that could drive future growth.

Options pricing suggests a high expected move, indicating that the market is anticipating significant news or changes.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in below $0.06, it could reinforce negative sentiment and lead to further stock declines.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Sportradar can recover from its recent earnings disappointments and demonstrate growth in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.07 or better, along with revenue growth exceeding $382M, would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.06 and revenue under $376M would indicate ongoing struggles and confirm bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±21.95%

Historical Avg

±8.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±22.0% while SRAD has averaged ±8.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

89.8%

Calls (1.3M)P/C Ratio: 0.45Puts (516K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 15 of 28 (54%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 15 of 28 faded and 13 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Sportradar beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.6%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of 4.5% following earnings misses.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new partnerships or contracts in the gaming sector.
2Insights into user engagement metrics and how they are trending.
3Management's outlook on the competitive landscape and market growth.
4Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
5Comments on regulatory changes affecting the gaming industry.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating profit.

$0.07

Revenue

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and sustain operations.

$382M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

SRAD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+60.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.85%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Sportradar reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly missing the estimate of $0.06. This disappointing performance led to a stock decline of 11.34% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Sportradar can meet or exceed the consensus estimates, it may signal a turnaround in profitability and growth, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

A continuation of earnings misses could further erode investor trust and lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent performance history.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.07

Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing its costs and generating profit.

Revenue

$382M

Revenue growth is essential for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and sustain operations.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Sportradar achieve an EPS of at least $0.07?

This figure is crucial for restoring investor confidence after recent earnings misses and will indicate the company's ability to manage costs effectively.

What are the revenue growth prospects compared to the consensus of $382M?

Revenue performance will be a key indicator of market demand and the company's competitive position in the gaming industry.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Sportradar's potential for a rebound, given its strong data capabilities and the growing sports betting market.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, Sportradar has a solid foundation in data analytics that could drive future growth.

Options pricing suggests a high expected move, indicating that the market is anticipating significant news or changes.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in below $0.06, it could reinforce negative sentiment and lead to further stock declines.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Sportradar can recover from its recent earnings disappointments and demonstrate growth in a competitive environment.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.07 or better, along with revenue growth exceeding $382M, would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.06 and revenue under $376M would indicate ongoing struggles and confirm bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±21.95%

Historical Avg

±8.6%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±22.0% while SRAD has averaged ±8.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

89.8%

Calls (1.3M)P/C Ratio: 0.45Puts (516K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 15 of 28 (54%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Sportradar beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.6%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of 4.5% following earnings misses.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new partnerships or contracts in the gaming sector.
2Insights into user engagement metrics and how they are trending.
3Management's outlook on the competitive landscape and market growth.
4Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
5Comments on regulatory changes affecting the gaming industry.