Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, Aug 3, 2026
EPS actual
$-0.01
EPS est.
$0.06
EPS surprise
-119.91%
1-day move
-15.13%
Sportradar's earnings report showed a significant miss on EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's sharp decline of 15.13%. Investors were expecting a profit, but the company reported a loss instead. The lack of revenue data and management commentary adds uncertainty to the outlook.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.01 | $0.07 | -119.91% |
| Revenue | — | $382M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Sportradar Group AG operates in the consumer discretionary sector, focusing on the casinos and gaming industry. The company provides sports data and entertainment solutions, which are increasingly important as consumer spending on gaming and sports entertainment continues to grow.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, Sportradar reported an EPS of -$0.02, significantly missing the estimate of $0.06. This disappointing performance led to an 11.34% drop in stock price the following day.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
38%
Avg EPS surprise
+58.08%
Avg 1-day reaction
-2.94%
Analysts expect Sportradar to report modest earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.07 and revenue of $382M. Given the company's recent performance, there is cautious optimism about a potential rebound.
Bull case
If Sportradar can exceed the EPS and revenue estimates, it may signal a recovery in its business operations and boost investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations again, it could lead to further declines in stock price and erode investor trust.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.07Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.
Revenue
$382MRevenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's ability to expand its market share and meet consumer demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.07?
A positive EPS could indicate a turnaround in profitability and boost investor confidence after recent misses.
Q2
What are the revenue growth projections for the upcoming quarters?
Understanding revenue trends is essential for assessing the company's future performance and market position.
—
Est. EPS
$0.60
Est. Rev
$13.8B
Impl. Move
±8.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Sportradar's ability to recover, as recent investments in technology and partnerships could drive unexpected growth.
Supporting evidence
The options market is pricing a 21.95% move, indicating expectations of significant volatility.
Historical performance shows that the stock has reacted positively to unexpected earnings beats, despite recent misses.
Key risk
If EPS exceeds $0.09, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift market perception.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it follows several disappointing earnings reports, and the market is looking for signs of recovery.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.09 or higher, along with revenue exceeding $387M, would confirm a strong recovery.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.06 and revenue below $376M would signal ongoing challenges.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±21.95%
Historical Avg
±9.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±22.0% while SRAD has averaged ±9.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
89.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Discretionary
Fade rate: 16 of 28 (57%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 16 of 28 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
86.12%
of float
Insider
1.98%
of float
Holders
182
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board
68,171,745 sh · $822.2M
30.79%
Flat
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Sportradar beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 2.6%, confirming a positive turnaround.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations again, the stock could drop by an average of 4.5%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Technology Crossover Management IX, Ltd.
29,203,147 sh · $352.2M
13.19%
Flat
Radcliff Management Llc
13,135,000 sh · $158.4M
5.93%
Flat
T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.
10,140,535 sh · $122.3M
4.58%
-18.3%
Spruce House Investment Management LLC
9,155,000 sh · $110.4M
4.14%
232.9%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.