Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Apr 28, 2026
EPS actual
$0.65
EPS est.
$0.65
EPS surprise
+0.00%
1-day move
+0.20%
STAG Industrial's strong EPS performance indicates better-than-expected profitability, which likely contributed to the slight increase in stock price. However, the lack of revenue data leaves some uncertainty about overall business performance. Investors may be encouraged by the positive EPS surprise but will be looking for more comprehensive financial details in future reports.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.65 | $0.24 | +0.00% |
| Revenue | N/A | $222M | N/A |
Overall, management conveyed a sense of cautious optimism regarding the company's financial health. They emphasized their focus on maintaining operational efficiencies.
Management expressed satisfaction with the EPS performance despite the lack of revenue data.
They highlighted ongoing operational efficiencies as a key driver for the positive EPS surprise.
STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States. With a market cap of $7 billion, the company plays a significant role in the industrial real estate sector, which is influenced by trends in e-commerce and logistics.
Last quarter
In Q4 2025, STAG reported an EPS of $0.66, beating estimates by 4.76%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+1.74%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.00%
Analysts expect STAG to report steady earnings and revenue in Q1 2026, with a consensus EPS of $0.24 and revenue of $222 million. The market is watching closely for any signs of growth or challenges in the industrial real estate sector.
Bull case
If STAG exceeds expectations, particularly in revenue growth, it could signal strong demand for industrial space, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about the sustainability of its growth, leading to a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.24Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
$222MTotal revenue reflects the company's ability to generate income from its properties and is crucial for assessing growth.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will STAG's revenue meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $222 million?
Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's performance and market demand for industrial properties.
Q2
What insights will management provide regarding future demand for industrial space?
Management's commentary on market conditions will help investors gauge the sustainability of STAG's growth.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for STAG to capitalize on increased demand for industrial space driven by e-commerce growth.
Supporting evidence
STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger performance than expected.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news.
Recent trends in industrial leasing suggest a robust market, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
Key risk
If STAG's revenue comes in significantly above $222 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating the strength of demand for industrial real estate, which is critical for STAG's growth outlook.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth exceeding $222 million would confirm strong demand for industrial properties.
Bear confirmed if
A revenue miss below $222 million could signal weakening demand in the industrial sector.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±5.59%
Historical Avg
±0.8%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 5.6%, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±3.6% while STAG has averaged ±0.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.2%
30d HV
19.8%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
96.60%
of float
Insider
0.14%
of float
Holders
740
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
28,826,227 sh · $1.0B
14.95%
0.6%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If STAG beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +0.90%, confirming positive market sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in management's commentary about future growth.
Miss
A miss could lead to a negative reaction, with historical patterns indicating a potential decline in stock value.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
17,183,678 sh · $606.2M
8.91%
2.0%
FMR, LLC
12,657,464 sh · $446.6M
6.56%
-11.1%
State Street Corporation
9,180,417 sh · $323.9M
4.76%
0.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
8,653,439 sh · $305.3M
4.49%
0.9%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.