Materials·Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials·$20.9B
Smurfit Westrock PLC is a major player in the materials sector, focusing on paper and plastic packaging products. With a market cap of $21 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the packaging industry, which is essential for various sectors including e-commerce and consumer goods.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, and investors closely watch it to gauge performance.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
14%
Avg EPS Surprise
-52.56%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.35%
In Q4-2025, Smurfit Westrock reported an EPS of $0.34, which was significantly below the expected $0.46, leading to a stock increase of nearly 10% the following day. The company has faced challenges in meeting earnings expectations in recent quarters.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Smurfit Westrock's upcoming earnings, expecting an EPS of $0.40 and revenue of $7.5 billion. However, the company has a history of missing earnings estimates, which raises concerns.
Bull Case
If the company can exceed the EPS estimate of $0.40, it may signal a turnaround in performance and boost investor confidence, especially if revenue also meets or exceeds expectations.
Bear Case
Conversely, if Smurfit Westrock misses its EPS and revenue targets, it could further erode investor trust, leading to a negative reaction in the stock price.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.40EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, and investors closely watch it to gauge performance.
Revenue
$7.5BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed $0.40?
Given the company's recent struggles with earnings, exceeding this EPS target could indicate a positive shift in performance.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook for the quarter?
Revenue figures will provide insight into demand for Smurfit Westrock's products and overall market conditions.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for a recovery in demand for packaging products, especially with the ongoing growth in e-commerce.
Supporting Evidence
Options are pricing in a larger move than the historical average, suggesting heightened expectations.
The recent uptick in consumer spending could positively impact packaging demand, contrary to bearish sentiment.
Key Risk
If revenue comes in significantly above $7.6 billion, it could challenge the current bearish outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Smurfit Westrock can recover from its recent earnings misses and improve its financial performance.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.45 or higher with revenue exceeding $7.6 billion would confirm a bullish outlook.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.32 or revenue below $7.3 billion would support a bearish view.
Implied Move
±10.56%
Historical Avg
±6.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 10.56%, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings release.
Options are pricing ±10.6% while SW has averaged ±6.6% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Smurfit Westrock beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.1%, confirming a positive trend.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report could lead to muted reactions as investors await further commentary from management.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.2%, reinforcing existing concerns.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026