Equity Profile

TEX

Terex Corporation

IndustrialsConstruction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment$7.1B

Jul30Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Terex Corporation (TEX) operates in the industrial sector, focusing on construction machinery and heavy transportation equipment. As infrastructure spending increases, the demand for Terex's products can significantly impact its performance and market position.

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing how well Terex is capitalizing on market demand and expanding its customer base.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, reflecting how much profit is attributed to each share of stock.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TEX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+17.21%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.37%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Terex reported an EPS of $0.98, exceeding expectations by nearly 26%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Terex's upcoming earnings, especially given the company's recent performance and the current market conditions.

Bull Case

If Terex continues to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of weakening demand, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, as seen in previous quarters.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current order backlog compared to last quarter?

A growing backlog would indicate strong future sales, while a decline could raise concerns about demand.

How does management view the impact of rising material costs on margins?

Understanding the cost pressures will help gauge profitability and pricing power in the current economic environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Terex's ability to manage costs and maintain margins despite inflationary pressures, leading to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Terex has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate in the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a higher move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility.

Recent trends in infrastructure spending could positively impact Terex's order backlog.

Key Risk

If order backlog growth is reported below expectations, it could lead to a reassessment of future revenue potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on Terex's ability to manage costs and meet demand in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of over 15% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS falls below $0.80, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±24.32%

Historical Avg

±6.7%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating heightened uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±24.3% while TEX has averaged ±6.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

44.1%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 0.11Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Terex beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.66%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest the commentary.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data indicating an average drop of around 9.36%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on order backlog and how it compares to previous quarters.
2Comments on material cost impacts and pricing strategies.
3Insights into demand trends in the construction sector.
4Any guidance on future revenue expectations.
5Management's outlook on market conditions and competition.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is crucial for assessing how well Terex is capitalizing on market demand and expanding its customer base.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, reflecting how much profit is attributed to each share of stock.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TEX Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+17.21%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.37%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Terex reported an EPS of $0.98, exceeding expectations by nearly 26%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Terex's upcoming earnings, especially given the company's recent performance and the current market conditions.

Bull Case

If Terex continues to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of weakening demand, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, as seen in previous quarters.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current order backlog compared to last quarter?

A growing backlog would indicate strong future sales, while a decline could raise concerns about demand.

How does management view the impact of rising material costs on margins?

Understanding the cost pressures will help gauge profitability and pricing power in the current economic environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Terex's ability to manage costs and maintain margins despite inflationary pressures, leading to stronger-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Terex has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate in the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing a higher move than historical averages, suggesting that traders expect significant volatility.

Recent trends in infrastructure spending could positively impact Terex's order backlog.

Key Risk

If order backlog growth is reported below expectations, it could lead to a reassessment of future revenue potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on Terex's ability to manage costs and meet demand in a competitive market.

Bull Confirmed If

A revenue growth rate of over 15% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS falls below $0.80, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±24.32%

Historical Avg

±6.7%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating heightened uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±24.3% while TEX has averaged ±6.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

44.1%

Calls (2K)P/C Ratio: 0.11Puts (3K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Terex beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.66%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious, the stock may experience muted movement as investors digest the commentary.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data indicating an average drop of around 9.36%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on order backlog and how it compares to previous quarters.
2Comments on material cost impacts and pricing strategies.
3Insights into demand trends in the construction sector.
4Any guidance on future revenue expectations.
5Management's outlook on market conditions and competition.