Equity Profile

TTE

TotalEnergies SE

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas$196.4B

Feb11Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

TotalEnergies SE is a major player in the energy sector, focusing on integrated oil and gas operations. As global energy demand evolves, the company's efforts in renewable energy and sustainability are becoming increasingly important.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and revenues.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for overall financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TTE Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, TotalEnergies reported an EPS of $1.77, slightly below the estimate of $1.80. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 0.93% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on cost management to improve profitability.
Commitment to increasing investments in renewable energy.
Plans to enhance operational efficiency across its integrated operations.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautious ahead of the earnings report, given recent EPS misses and the volatility in oil prices. Investors are looking for signs of recovery in profitability.

Bull Case

If TotalEnergies can demonstrate strong cost management and a rebound in oil prices, it could lead to improved earnings and a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Continued misses on EPS and weak revenue growth could further erode investor confidence, leading to a negative stock response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for this quarter?

Given the recent trend of EPS misses, this number is crucial for restoring investor confidence.

How are oil prices affecting revenue projections?

With oil prices being volatile, understanding their impact on revenue is key to assessing future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate TotalEnergies' ability to manage costs effectively in a challenging oil price environment.

Supporting Evidence

Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in current EPS estimates.

The company's commitment to renewable energy could provide a buffer against oil price volatility.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If the EPS exceeds $1.85, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether TotalEnergies can overcome recent EPS misses and volatile oil prices to deliver solid financial results.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating effective cost management.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.70 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing profitability challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±1.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a move of about 2.71%, suggesting some uncertainty about the upcoming earnings report.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while TTE has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.4%

Calls (14K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (12K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TotalEnergies beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.5%, confirming a recovery in profitability.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react moderately, reflecting ongoing caution among investors.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about 1.82%, further impacting investor sentiment negatively.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Updates on renewable energy investments and their expected returns.
3Insights into how oil price fluctuations are being managed.
4Any changes in revenue guidance based on market conditions.
5Management's outlook on future oil demand and pricing.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and revenues.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for overall financial health.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TTE Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, TotalEnergies reported an EPS of $1.77, slightly below the estimate of $1.80. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 0.93% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on cost management to improve profitability.
Commitment to increasing investments in renewable energy.
Plans to enhance operational efficiency across its integrated operations.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautious ahead of the earnings report, given recent EPS misses and the volatility in oil prices. Investors are looking for signs of recovery in profitability.

Bull Case

If TotalEnergies can demonstrate strong cost management and a rebound in oil prices, it could lead to improved earnings and a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Continued misses on EPS and weak revenue growth could further erode investor confidence, leading to a negative stock response.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for this quarter?

Given the recent trend of EPS misses, this number is crucial for restoring investor confidence.

How are oil prices affecting revenue projections?

With oil prices being volatile, understanding their impact on revenue is key to assessing future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate TotalEnergies' ability to manage costs effectively in a challenging oil price environment.

Supporting Evidence

Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in current EPS estimates.

The company's commitment to renewable energy could provide a buffer against oil price volatility.

Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Key Risk

If the EPS exceeds $1.85, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether TotalEnergies can overcome recent EPS misses and volatile oil prices to deliver solid financial results.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating effective cost management.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.70 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing profitability challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±1.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a move of about 2.71%, suggesting some uncertainty about the upcoming earnings report.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while TTE has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.4%

Calls (14K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (12K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TotalEnergies beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.5%, confirming a recovery in profitability.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react moderately, reflecting ongoing caution among investors.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about 1.82%, further impacting investor sentiment negatively.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Updates on renewable energy investments and their expected returns.
3Insights into how oil price fluctuations are being managed.
4Any changes in revenue guidance based on market conditions.
5Management's outlook on future oil demand and pricing.