Equity Profile

TTE

TotalEnergies SE

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas$193.0B

Feb11Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) is a major player in the energy sector, involved in oil and gas production, renewable energy, and electricity generation. As the world shifts towards cleaner energy sources, TotalEnergies' efforts in sustainability and innovation are increasingly significant.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial performance.

$1.80

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its operations and capture market share, crucial in the competitive energy sector.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TTE Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2025, TotalEnergies reported an EPS of $1.77, slightly missing expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining 0.93% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about TotalEnergies' upcoming earnings, particularly regarding EPS and oil price trends. However, recent misses have raised concerns about the company's ability to meet expectations.

Bull Case

If TotalEnergies can exceed EPS expectations and demonstrate strong revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS again or provides weak guidance, it could further erode investor trust and lead to a significant drop in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$1.80

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial performance.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its operations and capture market share, crucial in the competitive energy sector.

Oil Prices

N/A

Fluctuations in oil prices directly impact TotalEnergies' revenue and profitability, making it essential to monitor.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will TotalEnergies' EPS exceed $1.80?

A positive EPS surprise could restore investor confidence and lead to a stock price increase.

What is the company's outlook on oil prices for the upcoming quarter?

Guidance on oil prices can significantly influence revenue expectations and investor sentiment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating TotalEnergies' ability to adapt to fluctuating oil prices, as recent investments in renewable energy could offset traditional revenue declines.

Supporting Evidence

TotalEnergies has been increasing its focus on renewable energy, which may not be fully reflected in current EPS estimates.

The options market is pricing a move of 2.71%, suggesting greater uncertainty than warranted by historical performance.

Recent insider activity has shown no significant selling pressure, indicating confidence from management.

Key Risk

If oil prices stabilize or increase, it could lead to a significant upside surprise in earnings.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating TotalEnergies' ability to recover from recent earnings misses and the impact of oil price volatility on its financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.77 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing challenges in meeting market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±1.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 2.71%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while TTE has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.4%

Calls (14K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (12K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TotalEnergies beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.5% on the first trading day after the report.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience a muted reaction.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of around 1.82%, as seen in previous quarters.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on TotalEnergies' renewable energy projects and their expected impact on future earnings.
2Management's commentary on oil price forecasts and how they plan to navigate volatility.
3Details on cost management strategies and their effectiveness in maintaining margins.
4Insights into demand trends in key markets and how they might affect revenue.
5Any updates on regulatory changes that could impact operations or profitability.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial performance.

$1.80

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its operations and capture market share, crucial in the competitive energy sector.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TTE Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-2.35%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.99%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2025, TotalEnergies reported an EPS of $1.77, slightly missing expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining 0.93% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If TotalEnergies can exceed EPS expectations and demonstrate strong revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS again or provides weak guidance, it could further erode investor trust and lead to a significant drop in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$1.80

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial performance.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its operations and capture market share, crucial in the competitive energy sector.

Oil Prices

N/A

Fluctuations in oil prices directly impact TotalEnergies' revenue and profitability, making it essential to monitor.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will TotalEnergies' EPS exceed $1.80?

A positive EPS surprise could restore investor confidence and lead to a stock price increase.

What is the company's outlook on oil prices for the upcoming quarter?

Guidance on oil prices can significantly influence revenue expectations and investor sentiment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating TotalEnergies' ability to adapt to fluctuating oil prices, as recent investments in renewable energy could offset traditional revenue declines.

Supporting Evidence

TotalEnergies has been increasing its focus on renewable energy, which may not be fully reflected in current EPS estimates.

The options market is pricing a move of 2.71%, suggesting greater uncertainty than warranted by historical performance.

Recent insider activity has shown no significant selling pressure, indicating confidence from management.

Key Risk

If oil prices stabilize or increase, it could lead to a significant upside surprise in earnings.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating TotalEnergies' ability to recover from recent earnings misses and the impact of oil price volatility on its financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.80 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.77 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing challenges in meeting market expectations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±2.71%

Historical Avg

±1.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a move of approximately 2.71%, indicating that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±2.7% while TTE has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.4%

Calls (14K)P/C Ratio: 0.07Puts (12K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If TotalEnergies beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.5% on the first trading day after the report.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience a muted reaction.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of around 1.82%, as seen in previous quarters.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on TotalEnergies' renewable energy projects and their expected impact on future earnings.
2Management's commentary on oil price forecasts and how they plan to navigate volatility.
3Details on cost management strategies and their effectiveness in maintaining margins.
4Insights into demand trends in key markets and how they might affect revenue.
5Any updates on regulatory changes that could impact operations or profitability.