Equity Profile

TXN

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Information TechnologySemiconductors$259.4B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components, including chips used in various applications like automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. With a market cap of $259 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the technology sector, especially as demand for advanced electronics continues to grow.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insights into the demand for Texas Instruments' products and overall market performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TXN Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.92%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.39%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Texas Instruments reported an EPS of $1.68, beating estimates by 22.45%, which positively impacted the stock price. However, revenue details were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Texas Instruments are mixed as the company has a strong history of beating EPS estimates, but there is uncertainty regarding revenue growth and market conditions. Investors are keen to see if the company can maintain its momentum in a challenging economic environment.

Bull Case

If Texas Instruments continues to outperform expectations on EPS and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or reports weak revenue growth, it could raise concerns about its market position and future profitability, leading to a negative reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given Texas Instruments' strong EPS beat history, the market will closely scrutinize this figure to gauge profitability and operational efficiency.

What are the revenue growth expectations moving forward?

Revenue growth is critical for understanding demand trends and the company's ability to capture market share in a competitive environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Texas Instruments' ability to leverage its diverse product portfolio to capture growth in emerging markets, particularly in automotive and industrial sectors.

Supporting Evidence

Texas Instruments has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational management.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect more than just a typical performance.

The company's historical performance shows resilience even in challenging market conditions.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around Texas Instruments' ability to sustain its earnings momentum in a potentially slowing economy.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.8%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 13.8%, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±13.8% while TXN has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

61.3%

Calls (398K)P/C Ratio: 0.63Puts (421K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Texas Instruments beats expectations, history suggests a positive market reaction, typically around a +0.44% increase in stock price.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted response, as management commentary could drive the stock in either direction depending on the tone.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a minimal reaction of about +0.02%, but investor sentiment could shift negatively.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$501,002.00–$1.0M

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OKKevin HernRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand trends in the automotive sector.
2Insights into supply chain stability and its impact on production.
3Management's outlook on revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.
4Details on new product launches and their expected market impact.
5Comments on competitive pressures and pricing strategies.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insights into the demand for Texas Instruments' products and overall market performance.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

TXN Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.92%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.39%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Texas Instruments continues to outperform expectations on EPS and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS expectations or reports weak revenue growth, it could raise concerns about its market position and future profitability, leading to a negative reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given Texas Instruments' strong EPS beat history, the market will closely scrutinize this figure to gauge profitability and operational efficiency.

What are the revenue growth expectations moving forward?

Revenue growth is critical for understanding demand trends and the company's ability to capture market share in a competitive environment.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Texas Instruments' ability to leverage its diverse product portfolio to capture growth in emerging markets, particularly in automotive and industrial sectors.

Supporting Evidence

Texas Instruments has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational management.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect more than just a typical performance.

The company's historical performance shows resilience even in challenging market conditions.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious consensus.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around Texas Instruments' ability to sustain its earnings momentum in a potentially slowing economy.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.75 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.8%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 13.8%, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±13.8% while TXN has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

61.3%

Calls (398K)P/C Ratio: 0.63Puts (421K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Texas Instruments beats expectations, history suggests a positive market reaction, typically around a +0.44% increase in stock price.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted response, as management commentary could drive the stock in either direction depending on the tone.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a minimal reaction of about +0.02%, but investor sentiment could shift negatively.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$501,002.00–$1.0M

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OKKevin HernRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand trends in the automotive sector.
2Insights into supply chain stability and its impact on production.
3Management's outlook on revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.
4Details on new product launches and their expected market impact.
5Comments on competitive pressures and pricing strategies.