Information Technology·Semiconductors·$252.2B
Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. As a key player in the information technology sector, its performance is closely tied to trends in technology adoption, such as artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and will reflect how well the company managed costs and revenues in the quarter.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's market demand and overall health, especially in a competitive semiconductor landscape.
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Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) is a leading semiconductor company that designs and manufactures a wide range of electronic components used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. As a key player in the information technology sector, its performance is closely tied to trends in technology adoption, such as artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things.
EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+8.92%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.39%
In Q1 2026, Texas Instruments reported an EPS of $1.68, exceeding expectations by 22.45%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.36% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Texas Instruments' upcoming earnings, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates.
Bull Case
If the company reports strong revenue growth and maintains or improves its gross margins, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to a significant stock price increase.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the earnings report reveals declining margins or weak revenue growth, it could raise concerns about the company's competitive position and lead to a negative market reaction.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.68EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and will reflect how well the company managed costs and revenues in the quarter.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth is essential for understanding the company's market demand and overall health, especially in a competitive semiconductor landscape.
Gross Margin
N/AGross margin indicates how efficiently Texas Instruments produces its products and can signal pricing power in the market.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the expected EPS for Q2-2026?
EPS is a key measure of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.
Q2
How is Texas Instruments addressing supply chain challenges?
Supply chain issues have been a concern in the semiconductor industry, and effective management is crucial for maintaining production and meeting demand.
Why consensus could be wrong
The market may be underestimating Texas Instruments' ability to navigate supply chain challenges and maintain margins, which could lead to better-than-expected results.
Supporting Evidence
The company has a strong history of beating EPS estimates, with an 88% success rate over the last eight quarters.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility, which may not align with conservative analyst expectations.
Key Risk
If supply chain improvements lead to better-than-expected revenue, it could significantly alter the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The semiconductor market is highly competitive, and maintaining margins while growing revenue is critical for Texas Instruments' long-term success.
Bull Confirmed If
A revenue growth rate exceeding 10% year-over-year would confirm strong demand and market position.
Bear Confirmed If
If gross margins fall below 50%, it could signal pricing pressure and operational inefficiencies.
Implied Move
±30.84%
Historical Avg
±1.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±35.3% while TXN has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors
n=30Fade rate: 16 of 30 (53%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 16 of 30 faded and 14 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.9%, with a raw directional average of -1.5% (modestly negative historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Texas Instruments beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.44% on the following day, confirming strong operational performance.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report with cautious commentary may lead to a muted reaction, as investors assess the company's outlook amidst market uncertainties.
Miss
If the company misses estimates, history suggests a minimal reaction of around +0.02%, but concerns about future performance could linger.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
ENTERPRISE FINL SVCS
Jul 27, 2026