Equity Profile

YSS

York Space Systems, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$3.8B

Aug12Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. is a company in the aerospace and defense sector that focuses on providing satellite systems and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

-0.11

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. is a company in the aerospace and defense sector that focuses on providing satellite systems and services. With a market cap of $4 billion, it plays a significant role in the growing space industry, which is increasingly important for communication, defense, and scientific research.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, York Space Systems reported an EPS of -0.89, significantly missing estimates. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect York Space Systems to report a loss this quarter, with revenue slightly improving from the previous quarter. The market is cautious given the company's recent performance.

Bull Case

If the company can show improved revenue and a smaller loss than expected, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses on both EPS and revenue, it could raise concerns about its operational efficiency and future growth.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

Revenue

110M

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of -0.11?

A smaller loss could indicate improved operational performance and boost investor sentiment.

How does the revenue of $110M compare to last quarter's performance?

Revenue growth is crucial for demonstrating demand and operational success in the competitive aerospace sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be overly pessimistic about York Space Systems' ability to recover from its last earnings miss, as the company has potential for growth in satellite services.

Supporting Evidence

The significant implied move in options suggests that the market is bracing for a surprise, either positive or negative.

Historical patterns indicate that stocks often recover from prior misses, suggesting a potential for a positive reaction this quarter.

Key Risk

If the company shows unexpected revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant earnings miss last quarter, and investors will be looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving revenue of at least $115M would confirm a positive outlook for the company.

Bear Confirmed If

If revenue falls below $105M, it would suggest ongoing challenges in the business.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move following the earnings report, indicating heightened uncertainty.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York Space Systems beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.86%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about future growth.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, the stock could drop by about 2.86%, reinforcing concerns about its operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Details on cost management strategies to improve EPS.
3Insights into market demand for satellite services.
4Management's outlook on future quarters and any guidance provided.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding operational challenges.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. is a company in the aerospace and defense sector that focuses on providing satellite systems and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

-0.11

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, York Space Systems reported an EPS of -0.89, significantly missing estimates. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect York Space Systems to report a loss this quarter, with revenue slightly improving from the previous quarter. The market is cautious given the company's recent performance.

Bull Case

If the company can show improved revenue and a smaller loss than expected, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses on both EPS and revenue, it could raise concerns about its operational efficiency and future growth.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

Revenue

110M

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of -0.11?

A smaller loss could indicate improved operational performance and boost investor sentiment.

How does the revenue of $110M compare to last quarter's performance?

Revenue growth is crucial for demonstrating demand and operational success in the competitive aerospace sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be overly pessimistic about York Space Systems' ability to recover from its last earnings miss, as the company has potential for growth in satellite services.

Supporting Evidence

The significant implied move in options suggests that the market is bracing for a surprise, either positive or negative.

Historical patterns indicate that stocks often recover from prior misses, suggesting a potential for a positive reaction this quarter.

Key Risk

If the company shows unexpected revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant earnings miss last quarter, and investors will be looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving revenue of at least $115M would confirm a positive outlook for the company.

Bear Confirmed If

If revenue falls below $105M, it would suggest ongoing challenges in the business.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move following the earnings report, indicating heightened uncertainty.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York Space Systems beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.86%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about future growth.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, the stock could drop by about 2.86%, reinforcing concerns about its operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Details on cost management strategies to improve EPS.
3Insights into market demand for satellite services.
4Management's outlook on future quarters and any guidance provided.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding operational challenges.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime