Equity Profile

YSS

York Space Systems, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$3.8B

Aug12Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on providing satellite systems and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

$-0.11

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

$110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on providing satellite systems and services. As a player in the growing space industry, the company's performance is closely tied to advancements in technology and increasing demand for satellite capabilities.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, York Space Systems reported an EPS of $-0.89, significantly missing the estimate of $-0.17. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management committed to improving operational efficiency.
They emphasized a focus on expanding their satellite production capabilities.
There was a mention of pursuing new contracts to boost revenue.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect York Space Systems to report a loss this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $-0.11 and revenue of $110M. The market is cautious given the company's recent performance.

Bull Case

If the company can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of improving profitability, it may signal a turnaround in operations and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

Revenue

$110M

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the company achieve revenue of at least $110M this quarter?

Meeting or exceeding this revenue target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after last quarter's significant miss.

What specific actions are being taken to improve the EPS from $-0.89 to the consensus of $-0.11?

Investors will be looking for concrete steps management is taking to reduce losses and improve profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for York Space Systems to secure new contracts, which could significantly boost revenue beyond current expectations.

Supporting Evidence

The aerospace sector is experiencing increased demand for satellite capabilities, which could benefit York Space Systems.

Management's focus on operational efficiency may yield better-than-expected results despite recent losses.

Key Risk

If new contracts are announced or existing contracts are expanded, it could dramatically change revenue projections.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant earnings miss, and investors are keen to see if the company can turn things around.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving revenue above $110M with an EPS improvement towards $-0.11 would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

Failing to reach the $110M revenue mark or showing a wider loss than expected would confirm a negative outlook.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating uncertainty around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York Space Systems beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.86%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the news and management commentary.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.86%, as seen in previous quarters, further eroding investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Updates on operational efficiency improvements and cost management strategies.
3Any commentary on market demand for satellite systems and how the company plans to capitalize on it.
4Insights into the competitive landscape and how York Space Systems positions itself against peers.
5Management's outlook on future quarters and any guidance provided for upcoming performance.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Aug10

BWBMO

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.

PreviewView

Aug10

ROIVBMO

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on providing satellite systems and services....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

$-0.11

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

$110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, York Space Systems reported an EPS of $-0.89, significantly missing the estimate of $-0.17. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management committed to improving operational efficiency.
They emphasized a focus on expanding their satellite production capabilities.
There was a mention of pursuing new contracts to boost revenue.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect York Space Systems to report a loss this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $-0.11 and revenue of $110M. The market is cautious given the company's recent performance.

Bull Case

If the company can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of improving profitability, it may signal a turnaround in operations and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

Revenue

$110M

Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the company achieve revenue of at least $110M this quarter?

Meeting or exceeding this revenue target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after last quarter's significant miss.

What specific actions are being taken to improve the EPS from $-0.89 to the consensus of $-0.11?

Investors will be looking for concrete steps management is taking to reduce losses and improve profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for York Space Systems to secure new contracts, which could significantly boost revenue beyond current expectations.

Supporting Evidence

The aerospace sector is experiencing increased demand for satellite capabilities, which could benefit York Space Systems.

Management's focus on operational efficiency may yield better-than-expected results despite recent losses.

Key Risk

If new contracts are announced or existing contracts are expanded, it could dramatically change revenue projections.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a significant earnings miss, and investors are keen to see if the company can turn things around.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving revenue above $110M with an EPS improvement towards $-0.11 would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

Failing to reach the $110M revenue mark or showing a wider loss than expected would confirm a negative outlook.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating uncertainty around the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York Space Systems beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.86%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors digest the news and management commentary.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.86%, as seen in previous quarters, further eroding investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Updates on operational efficiency improvements and cost management strategies.
3Any commentary on market demand for satellite systems and how the company plans to capitalize on it.
4Insights into the competitive landscape and how York Space Systems positions itself against peers.
5Management's outlook on future quarters and any guidance provided for upcoming performance.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime