Equity Profile

YSS

York Space Systems, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$2.5B

Aug12Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ1-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on satellite systems and space technology....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

$-0.11

Revenue

Revenue figures will indicate the company's sales performance and demand for its products in the aerospace sector.

$110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on satellite systems and space technology. With a market cap of $3 billion, the company plays a significant role in the growing space industry, which is increasingly important for communication, defense, and scientific research.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, York Space Systems reported an EPS of $-0.89, significantly missing expectations. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect a challenging quarter for York Space Systems, with projected losses continuing. The consensus EPS of $-0.11 suggests ongoing struggles in profitability.

Bull Case

If the company can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of improving operational efficiency, it may regain investor confidence and see a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Continued losses and failure to meet revenue expectations could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the previous quarter's significant miss.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

Revenue

$110M

Revenue figures will indicate the company's sales performance and demand for its products in the aerospace sector.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.11?

A smaller loss than expected could signal improved cost management and operational efficiency, which investors will closely watch.

What revenue figures will the company report compared to the consensus of $110M?

Revenue performance is critical for understanding demand for York's products and overall market position in the aerospace sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a revenue surprise given recent contracts and partnerships that could boost sales.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a large move, suggesting that traders expect significant news or changes.

Historical performance shows that the stock has reacted positively to unexpected revenue increases in the past.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in above $110M, it could challenge the current bearish outlook and shift investor sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether York can stabilize its financial performance after a significant miss last quarter.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue exceeding $110M with a smaller EPS loss than $-0.11 would indicate a positive shift in the company's performance.

Bear Confirmed If

Revenue falling below $105M or an EPS worse than $-0.13 would confirm ongoing struggles and likely lead to a negative market reaction.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a substantial potential movement in the stock price, indicating uncertainty about the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York beats expectations, history suggests the stock could react positively, potentially moving around 2.86% upwards.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.86%, reflecting continued concerns about the company's profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could impact revenue.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies and operational efficiency.
3Insights into market demand for satellite systems and how it affects future growth.
4Guidance on expected performance for the next quarter and beyond.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the aerospace sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

York Space Systems, Inc. operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on satellite systems and space technology....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

$-0.11

Revenue

Revenue figures will indicate the company's sales performance and demand for its products in the aerospace sector.

$110M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YSS Q1-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-408.57%

Avg Stock Reaction

-2.86%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, York Space Systems reported an EPS of $-0.89, significantly missing expectations. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 2.86% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect a challenging quarter for York Space Systems, with projected losses continuing. The consensus EPS of $-0.11 suggests ongoing struggles in profitability.

Bull Case

If the company can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of improving operational efficiency, it may regain investor confidence and see a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Continued losses and failure to meet revenue expectations could lead to further declines in stock price, especially given the previous quarter's significant miss.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.11

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs.

Revenue

$110M

Revenue figures will indicate the company's sales performance and demand for its products in the aerospace sector.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will the EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.11?

A smaller loss than expected could signal improved cost management and operational efficiency, which investors will closely watch.

What revenue figures will the company report compared to the consensus of $110M?

Revenue performance is critical for understanding demand for York's products and overall market position in the aerospace sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a revenue surprise given recent contracts and partnerships that could boost sales.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a large move, suggesting that traders expect significant news or changes.

Historical performance shows that the stock has reacted positively to unexpected revenue increases in the past.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in above $110M, it could challenge the current bearish outlook and shift investor sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether York can stabilize its financial performance after a significant miss last quarter.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue exceeding $110M with a smaller EPS loss than $-0.11 would indicate a positive shift in the company's performance.

Bear Confirmed If

Revenue falling below $105M or an EPS worse than $-0.13 would confirm ongoing struggles and likely lead to a negative market reaction.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±36.96%

The options market is pricing in a substantial potential movement in the stock price, indicating uncertainty about the earnings report.

Detail

ATM IV

1.3%

30d HV

144.3%

Calls (136K)P/C Ratio: 0.27Puts (64K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If York beats expectations, history suggests the stock could react positively, potentially moving around 2.86% upwards.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.86%, reflecting continued concerns about the company's profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could impact revenue.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies and operational efficiency.
3Insights into market demand for satellite systems and how it affects future growth.
4Guidance on expected performance for the next quarter and beyond.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the aerospace sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime