Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Aug 13, 2026
EPS actual
$3.17
EPS est.
$2.92
EPS surprise
+8.71%
1-day move
+1.51%
Applied Industrial Technologies reported better-than-expected earnings per share, leading to a positive stock reaction of 1.51%. The EPS surprise indicates stronger profitability than anticipated, although revenue details were not disclosed. Investors may view this earnings beat as a sign of resilience in the company's performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $3.17 | N/A | +8.71% |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
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Est. EPS
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Est. Rev
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Impl. Move
±4.0%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) is a leading distributor of industrial products and services, focusing on fluid power, bearings, and other essential components for various industries. With a market cap of $13 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the industrial supply chain, benefiting from trends in manufacturing and infrastructure investment.
Last quarter
In Q3-2026, AIT reported an EPS of $2.65, slightly beating expectations. However, the stock experienced a modest increase of 1.05% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+5.71%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.93%
Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of AIT's earnings report, given the company's history of beating EPS estimates. However, concerns about broader economic conditions may temper expectations.
Bull case
If AIT can deliver strong EPS and demonstrate solid revenue growth, it could signal robust demand in the industrial sector, driving the stock higher.
Bear case
Conversely, any signs of slowing demand or increased operational costs could lead to disappointment, causing the stock to drop.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Expected to be around $2.65EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and improve sales, which is vital for sustaining profitability.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the expected EPS for Q4-2026, and how does it compare to previous quarters?
Given AIT's track record of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor sentiment.
Q2
How is AIT managing its operating costs in the current economic environment?
With rising costs impacting many industries, insights into cost management will be key to understanding future profitability.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate AIT's ability to manage costs effectively in a challenging economic environment, leading to better-than-expected margins.
Supporting evidence
AIT has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.
The company's commitment to operational efficiency may not be fully reflected in current forecasts.
Key risk
If operating costs come in lower than expected, it could significantly alter the market's perception of AIT's profitability.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on AIT's ability to maintain profitability amid economic pressures.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $2.70 or higher would confirm strong demand and effective cost management.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $2.60 could indicate weakening demand or rising costs, confirming bearish sentiment.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±4.2%
Historical Avg
±2.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±4.2% while AIT has averaged ±2.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.3%
30d HV
22.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials
Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$1.3M
3,716 sh
2 insiders
Net
$1.3M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If AIT beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +1.05%, confirming strong demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of -1.05%.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Operating Margin
N/AOperating margin indicates how efficiently the company is managing its costs relative to its revenue, impacting overall profitability.
$648,209.76
Net selling
$643,439.21
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Aug 26, 2026 · @ $340.45
1,904 sh
$648,209.76
Aug 18, 2026 · @ $355.10
1,812 sh
$643,439.21
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.