Equity Profile

ARM

Arm Holdings plc

Information TechnologySemiconductors$356.2B

May6Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ4-2026After Close1:00 AM EDT

Arm Holdings Beats on EPS, Stock Up 13.63%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.77	$0.58	+372.00%
Revenue	N/A	$1.5B	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Arm Holdings Beats on EPS, Stock Up 13.63%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.77	$0.58	+372.00%
Revenue	N/A	$1.5B	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

Arm Holdings reported a strong earnings surprise with EPS significantly exceeding expectations, which led to a notable stock increase of 13.63%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance. The substantial EPS beat suggests strong profitability, which may boost investor confidence moving forward.

Company Snapshot

Arm Holdings plc is a leading semiconductor company that designs microprocessors and related technology. As a key player in the Information Technology sector, Arm's technology is crucial for devices ranging from smartphones to cloud computing, making it a significant contributor to trends like AI and the Internet of Things.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.58

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Arm's products in the semiconductor market.

$1.5B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+146.67%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Arm reported an impressive EPS of $0.43, significantly beating estimates. The stock reacted positively, rising slightly the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to innovate in semiconductor technology.
Focus on expanding partnerships in AI and cloud computing.
Maintain strong revenue growth in core markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Arm's upcoming earnings, expecting solid EPS and revenue figures. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in recent quarters, contributing to a positive outlook.

Bull Case

If Arm delivers strong EPS and revenue, it could reinforce investor confidence, leading to further stock appreciation. The company's ongoing innovation in AI and cloud technologies could drive future growth.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Arm fails to meet expectations, it could raise concerns about demand in the semiconductor market, leading to a potential decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.58

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.5B

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Arm's products in the semiconductor market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Arm's EPS exceed $0.58?

A beat on EPS would continue the trend of exceeding expectations and could boost investor confidence.

What will be the revenue figure compared to the $1.5B consensus?

Revenue performance is critical for assessing demand and growth in Arm's core markets.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the impact of Arm's recent partnerships in AI, which could drive higher revenue than expected.

Supporting Evidence

Arm has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent insider selling may indicate a cautious outlook, contrasting with bullish market sentiment.

Key Risk

If revenue significantly exceeds $1.5B, it could challenge the current market narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results will be closely watched as they will provide insights into Arm's growth trajectory in a competitive semiconductor market.

Bull Confirmed If

Earnings of $0.60 or higher with revenue exceeding $1.5B would confirm strong demand and growth.

Bear Confirmed If

Earnings below $0.52 or revenue falling short of $1.4B would indicate potential issues in demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±11.41%

Historical Avg

±4.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±10.9% while ARM has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.4%

30d HV

92.5%

Calls (2.3M)P/C Ratio: 0.57Puts (3.2M)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$5.3M

30,579 sh

2 insiders

Net

$5.3M

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 4 open-market trades

Chief Executive OfficerHaas Rene A.
$1.5M
Net selling

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Arm beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +2.23%, confirming strong market demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around -2.74%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on partnerships in AI and cloud computing.
2Details on revenue growth in key segments.
3Management's outlook on semiconductor market trends.
4Insights into cost management and profitability strategies.
5Comments on competitive pressures and market share.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.58

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Arm's products in the semiconductor market.

$1.5B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+146.67%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Arm reported an impressive EPS of $0.43, significantly beating estimates. The stock reacted positively, rising slightly the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continue to innovate in semiconductor technology.
Focus on expanding partnerships in AI and cloud computing.
Maintain strong revenue growth in core markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

Bear Case

Conversely, if Arm fails to meet expectations, it could raise concerns about demand in the semiconductor market, leading to a potential decline in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.58

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.5B

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Arm's products in the semiconductor market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Arm's EPS exceed $0.58?

A beat on EPS would continue the trend of exceeding expectations and could boost investor confidence.

What will be the revenue figure compared to the $1.5B consensus?

Revenue performance is critical for assessing demand and growth in Arm's core markets.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the impact of Arm's recent partnerships in AI, which could drive higher revenue than expected.

Supporting Evidence

Arm has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent insider selling may indicate a cautious outlook, contrasting with bullish market sentiment.

Key Risk

If revenue significantly exceeds $1.5B, it could challenge the current market narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results will be closely watched as they will provide insights into Arm's growth trajectory in a competitive semiconductor market.

Bull Confirmed If

Earnings of $0.60 or higher with revenue exceeding $1.5B would confirm strong demand and growth.

Bear Confirmed If

Earnings below $0.52 or revenue falling short of $1.4B would indicate potential issues in demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±11.41%

Historical Avg

±4.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±10.9% while ARM has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.4%

30d HV

92.5%

Calls (2.3M)P/C Ratio: 0.57Puts (3.2M)

Edge

Insider Activity

Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.

Bought

$0.00

0 sh

0 insiders

Sold

$5.3M

30,579 sh

2 insiders

Net

$5.3M

Net selling

Most Active Insiders· 4 open-market trades

Chief Executive OfficerHaas Rene A.
$1.5M
Net selling

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Arm beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +2.23%, confirming strong market demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around -2.74%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on partnerships in AI and cloud computing.
2Details on revenue growth in key segments.
3Management's outlook on semiconductor market trends.
4Insights into cost management and profitability strategies.
5Comments on competitive pressures and market share.