Information Technology·Semiconductors·$249.4B
ARM Holdings PLC is a leading designer of semiconductor technology, crucial for powering a wide range of devices from smartphones to servers. As part of the Information Technology sector, ARM plays a significant role in the ongoing advancements in AI and cloud computing, making its performance relevant to investors focused on tech innovation.
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well ARM is managing its costs and revenues.
Revenue
Revenue figures will provide insight into the overall demand for ARM's technology and its market position.
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EPS Beat Streak
8Q
EPS Beat Rate
100%
Avg EPS Surprise
+115.80%
Avg Stock Reaction
+2.23%
In Q3 2026, ARM reported an impressive EPS of $0.43, significantly surpassing expectations of $0.21, reflecting strong operational performance. The stock saw a modest increase of 0.33% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect ARM to continue its trend of exceeding earnings estimates, with a consensus EPS of $0.58 for Q4-2026. The market is keenly watching for any signs of growth in revenue and profitability.
Bull Case
If ARM can deliver an EPS above the consensus and show strong revenue growth, it could reinforce investor confidence in its market leadership and innovation capabilities.
Bear Case
Conversely, if ARM falls short of earnings expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and future profitability.
EPS
$0.58Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well ARM is managing its costs and revenues.
Revenue
$1.5BRevenue figures will provide insight into the overall demand for ARM's technology and its market position.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will ARM's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.58?
A beat on EPS would reinforce ARM's strong operational performance and could drive positive sentiment in the stock.
Q2
What revenue growth can ARM report this quarter?
Revenue growth is critical for understanding demand for ARM's products and its competitive position in the semiconductor market.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating ARM's ability to capitalize on emerging AI and cloud computing trends, which could drive stronger revenue growth than anticipated.
Supporting Evidence
ARM's recent performance has consistently exceeded earnings estimates, indicating strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations that may not align with actual performance.
The semiconductor sector is experiencing increased demand, which ARM is well-positioned to leverage.
Key Risk
If ARM's revenue growth exceeds $1.5B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift investor confidence.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating ARM's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition in the semiconductor industry.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.60 or higher, along with revenue exceeding $1.5B, would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.52 or revenue falling short of $1.4B would confirm the bear case.
Implied Move
±16.73%
Historical Avg
±2.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant move following the earnings report, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility based on the results.
Options are pricing ±16.7% while ARM has averaged ±2.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If ARM beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.23% on the first day, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In-Line / Cautious
If results come in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, focusing on management's commentary for future guidance.
Miss
Should ARM miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 2.74%, raising concerns about its growth prospects.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026