Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, May 4, 2026
EPS actual
$3.72
EPS est.
$3.42
EPS surprise
+8.68%
1-day move
+1.60%
Fabrinet's earnings report showed a positive surprise in EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's 1.6% increase. However, the lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the company's overall performance and future direction.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $3.72 | $3.56 | +8.68% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.2B | N/A |
No transcript is on record for this earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Fabrinet (FN) operates in the Information Technology sector, specifically in Electronic Manufacturing Services. The company plays a crucial role in providing advanced manufacturing solutions for high-tech industries, which are increasingly important as demand for electronics continues to grow.
Last quarter
In Q2-2026, Fabrinet reported an EPS of $3.36, exceeding expectations by 8.49%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 2.08% the following day.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+11.32%
Avg 1-day reaction
+1.59%
Analysts expect Fabrinet to continue its strong performance with an EPS of $3.56 for Q3-2026, reflecting ongoing demand in the tech sector.
Bull case
If Fabrinet beats EPS expectations, it could indicate robust demand and operational efficiency, potentially driving the stock higher.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise concerns about slowing growth in the tech industry.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$3.56Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
$1.2BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $3.56?
A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in the company's growth trajectory and operational efficiency.
Q2
What insights will management provide regarding revenue trends?
Understanding revenue trends is crucial for assessing demand in the tech sector and the company's market position.
—
Est. EPS
$0.01
Est. Rev
$918M
Impl. Move
±9.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Fabrinet's ability to capitalize on emerging technologies, especially as demand for electronic components rises.
Supporting evidence
Fabrinet has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility that may not align with conservative forecasts.
Key risk
If EPS comes in below $3.50, it could signal deeper issues in demand or operational challenges.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it will indicate whether Fabrinet can sustain its growth amidst a competitive tech landscape.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $3.60 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and market demand.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $3.50 would suggest potential challenges in maintaining growth.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±18.51%
Historical Avg
±2.1%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±18.7% while FN has averaged ±2.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.2%
30d HV
82.5%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
104.12%
of float
Insider
0.26%
of float
Holders
1,024
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
4,824,895 sh · $2.4B
13.46%
-13.8%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Fabrinet beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.47%, confirming strong demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting a drop of around 1.47% on disappointing results.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
4
2 buys·2 sells
Members
2
House only
Est. Notional
$18,004.00–$95,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
2 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc
1,940,957 sh · $966.6M
5.42%
-49.5%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
1,898,671 sh · $945.5M
5.30%
-11.0%
FMR, LLC
1,841,854 sh · $917.2M
5.14%
-13.1%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
1,615,994 sh · $804.7M
4.51%
0.6%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Mixed
2 trades
Mixed
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 16, 2026 · disclosed Sep 4, 2026
$15,001.00–$50,000.00
Traded Jul 14, 2026 · disclosed Aug 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 4, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 1, 2026 · disclosed Jun 3, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.