Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
EPS actual
$0.12
EPS est.
$0.03
EPS surprise
+300.00%
1-day move
-4.55%
AvePoint's strong EPS performance indicates better-than-expected profitability, but the stock fell by 4.55% likely due to the lack of revenue expectations and overall market sentiment. The company reported solid growth in ARR and SaaS revenue, suggesting a positive trend in demand. However, the stock reaction may reflect investor caution amid foreign exchange headwinds and the absence of detailed guidance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.12 | N/A | +300.00% |
| Total Revenue | $124.5M | N/A | N/A |
| SaaS Revenue Growth | 27% YoY | N/A | N/A |
| Total ARR | $465.1M | N/A | N/A |
Management expressed optimism about the company's performance, highlighting strong enterprise demand and growth in ARR. They noted the impact of the new AgentPulse product on customer interest.
Management raised full-year ARR guidance despite FX headwinds.
AgentPulse is driving significant customer interest and pipeline growth.
AvePoint, Inc. is a technology company that specializes in application software, particularly focused on data management and protection solutions for cloud environments. As businesses increasingly rely on cloud services, AvePoint's offerings are becoming more relevant, making it a key player in the information technology sector.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, AvePoint reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly surpassing expectations of $0.03, marking a 159.26% surprise. The stock saw a modest increase of 0.58% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
5Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
-50.93%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.69%
Overall, expectations are mixed as AvePoint has shown strong EPS surprises in recent quarters, but revenue details remain uncertain. Investors are keen to see if this trend continues.
Bull case
If AvePoint continues to deliver strong EPS results and demonstrates solid revenue growth, it could indicate robust demand for its services, leading to a positive market reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or shows signs of customer churn, it could raise concerns about its growth trajectory, leading to a negative response from investors.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will be the revenue growth rate compared to last quarter?
Revenue growth is a critical indicator of the company's ability to scale and meet market demand, which investors will closely monitor.
Q2
How is the customer retention rate trending?
A strong retention rate is essential for long-term profitability, and any decline could signal potential issues in customer satisfaction.
—
Est. EPS
$1.48
Est. Rev
$3.3B
Impl. Move
±16.9%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate AvePoint's growth potential given its recent strong EPS surprises, which could indicate a more robust demand for its services than currently anticipated.
Supporting evidence
AvePoint has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting stronger underlying performance.
The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility and potential upside.
Recent customer feedback indicates high satisfaction, which may not be fully reflected in current forecasts.
Key risk
If revenue growth comes in below 10%, it could challenge the optimistic outlook currently held by the market.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on AvePoint's ability to maintain growth while ensuring customer satisfaction.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth of at least 15% quarter-over-quarter would confirm strong demand for AvePoint's services.
Bear confirmed if
Any indication of a decline in customer retention rate below 80% would raise significant concerns.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±30.37%
Historical Avg
±2.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±30.4% while AVPT has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
56.4%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$271,800.00
20,000 sh
1 insider
Net
$271,800.00
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$271,800.00
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
68.93%
of float
Insider
19.08%
of float
Holders
344
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Anchor @ 65 Pte. Ltd.
19,910,510 sh · $284.3M
9.41%
Flat
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If AvePoint beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.21%, confirming strong market demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted reactions as investors weigh future growth prospects.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 1.12%, indicating investor disappointment.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Sep 30, 2026 · @ $14.11
10,000 sh
$141,100.00
Sep 23, 2026 · @ $13.07
10,000 sh
$130,700.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Blackrock Inc.
14,445,859 sh · $206.3M
6.83%
14.3%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
10,758,854 sh · $153.6M
5.09%
-4.9%
Morgan Stanley
8,571,409 sh · $122.4M
4.05%
7.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
6,467,464 sh · $92.4M
3.06%
-6.9%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.