Consumer Discretionary·Automotive Parts & Equipment·$11.6B
BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) is a leading global supplier of automotive parts and equipment, focusing on advanced technologies for combustion, hybrid, and electric vehicles....
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating profits.
Revenue
Total revenue reflects the company's ability to sell its products and services, which is essential for assessing growth.
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EPS Beat Streak
8Q
EPS Beat Rate
100%
Avg EPS Surprise
+15.22%
Avg Stock Reaction
+6.37%
In Q4-2025, BorgWarner reported an EPS of $1.35, exceeding expectations by 16.68%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 22.45% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect BorgWarner to maintain its strong performance with an EPS of $1.17 and revenue of $3.5B. The company has a history of beating earnings expectations, which could lead to positive market reactions.
Bull Case
If BorgWarner exceeds EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal strong demand for its products, particularly in the electric vehicle market, leading to further stock price appreciation.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects and the impact of economic conditions on consumer spending in the automotive sector.
EPS
$1.17Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating profits.
Revenue
$3.5BTotal revenue reflects the company's ability to sell its products and services, which is essential for assessing growth.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will BorgWarner's EPS exceed $1.17, and by how much?
A significant EPS beat could reinforce investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory and ability to capitalize on the shift towards electric vehicles.
Q2
What are the revenue figures, and how do they compare to the $3.5B consensus?
Revenue performance is critical for assessing the overall health of the business and its market position, especially in a competitive automotive landscape.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate BorgWarner's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicle components, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting Evidence
BorgWarner has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.
The automotive industry's shift towards electrification is accelerating, and BorgWarner is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
Key Risk
If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations due to increased demand for electric vehicle technologies, it could challenge the current consensus outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's results are pivotal as they will indicate how well BorgWarner is navigating the transition in the automotive industry towards electrification and sustainability.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $1.20 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $3.6B, would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $1.08 or revenue falling short of $3.4B would raise concerns about market conditions and demand.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no available options market data to gauge investor sentiment or implied price movement.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat setup in Consumer Discretionary
n=30Fade rate: 6 of 16 (38%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 10 of 16 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.3%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If BorgWarner beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 6.37%, confirming strong demand and operational success.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further clarity on future growth prospects.
Miss
A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 6.37% following such outcomes.
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May 4, 2026