Consumer Staples·Personal Care Products·$2.1B
Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances....
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
0%
Avg EPS Surprise
-91.62%
Avg Stock Reaction
-1.53%
In Q2 2026, Coty reported an EPS of $0.14, which was below the estimated $0.18, leading to an 8.16% drop in stock price the following day. The revenue details were not disclosed, leaving investors uncertain about overall performance.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Coty's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a slight improvement in EPS and revenue. However, the company has struggled to meet earnings estimates in recent quarters.
Bull Case
If Coty can report an EPS above the consensus and show strong revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company misses earnings expectations again, it may raise concerns about its ability to compete in the personal care market, leading to further stock declines.
EPS
$-0.00Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
$1.3BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will Coty achieve an EPS of $0.01 or better?
A positive EPS could indicate a recovery in profitability and help regain investor trust after recent misses.
Q2
What is the revenue growth compared to the consensus of $1.3B?
Revenue performance is critical for assessing market demand and the effectiveness of Coty's product strategies.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Coty's potential for a turnaround, as recent product launches and marketing strategies could drive unexpected revenue growth.
Supporting Evidence
Coty's recent investments in digital marketing may not yet be reflected in analyst projections.
The options market suggests a larger potential move than historical averages, indicating heightened investor interest.
Previous earnings misses may have created a low bar for expectations, allowing for a potential positive surprise.
Key Risk
If Coty reports revenue significantly above $1.3B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is closely watching Coty's ability to rebound from previous earnings misses and regain momentum in a competitive industry.
Bull Confirmed If
Reporting an EPS of $0.01 or better with revenue exceeding $1.3B would confirm a positive outlook.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $-0.03 and revenue falling short of $1.2B would confirm ongoing struggles.
Implied Move
±6.68%
Historical Avg
±1.6%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating uncertainty around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±6.7% while COTY has averaged ±1.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples
n=30Fade rate: 10 of 30 (33%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 20 of 30 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Coty beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 1.62%, confirming a positive trend.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a drop in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average decline of 1.53%.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026