Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Jul 1, 2026
EPS actual
$4.53
EPS est.
$4.44
EPS surprise
+2.10%
1-day move
+6.72%
FactSet's earnings report showed a positive surprise in EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's increase of 6.72%. However, the lack of revenue data and management commentary means investors should be cautious about the overall context of these results. The strong EPS performance suggests the company is managing costs effectively or benefiting from higher margins.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $4.53 | $4.45 | +2.10% |
| Revenue | N/A | $618M | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) provides financial data and analytics to investment professionals. As a key player in the financial sector, it helps clients make informed decisions by offering insights into market trends and company performance, which is increasingly important in today's data-driven economy.
Last quarter
In Q2-2026, FactSet reported an EPS of $4.46, exceeding expectations by 2.04%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 6.08% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
4Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+1.80%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.49%
Analysts expect FactSet to deliver solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $4.45. The market is keenly watching for any signs of growth in revenue and client engagement.
Bull case
If FactSet beats earnings expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses earnings or revenue targets, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects, potentially leading to a negative stock reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$4.45Earnings per share is a critical indicator of the company's profitability and financial health.
Revenue
$618MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $4.45?
A beat on EPS would reinforce investor confidence in the company's profitability and growth trajectory.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook compared to the consensus of $618M?
Revenue growth is crucial for assessing the company's market position and future prospects, especially in a competitive environment.
—
Est. EPS
$1.47
Est. Rev
$559M
Impl. Move
±20.8%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for FactSet to exceed revenue expectations due to increased demand for financial data analytics in a volatile market.
Supporting evidence
FactSet's recent performance has shown consistent EPS beats, indicating strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors are bracing for significant news.
The company has a track record of adapting to market changes, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
Key risk
If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations, it could invalidate the cautious outlook currently held by analysts.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will be closely scrutinized as it reflects FactSet's ability to navigate a challenging economic landscape.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth of at least 5% year-over-year would confirm strong demand for FactSet's services.
Bear confirmed if
Revenue falling below $600M would raise concerns about market demand and growth potential.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±7.44%
Historical Avg
±5.4%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings announcement, suggesting heightened investor uncertainty.
Options are pricing ±7.4% while FDS has averaged ±5.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
46.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Financials
Fade rate: 12 of 25 (48%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. 12 of 25 faded and 13 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.0% (roughly flat historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If FactSet beats expectations, history suggests a positive stock reaction, averaging a +1.51% move.
In line / cautious
An in-line report could lead to a muted response, with investors focusing on management's commentary for future guidance.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, the stock could see a decline, with historical averages indicating a potential drop of around +3.48%.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
1
0 buys·1 sell
Members
1
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Est. Notional
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
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1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded May 15, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
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Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.