Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 7, 2026
EPS actual
$0.58
EPS est.
$0.53
EPS surprise
+9.02%
1-day move
-1.59%
Monster Beverage Corporation reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which is a positive sign for the company. However, the stock fell by 1.6% in reaction to the earnings report, likely due to the lack of revenue information and guidance. Investors may be cautious without further insights from management.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.58 | $0.53 | +9.02% |
| Revenue | N/A | $2.2B | N/A |
No transcript is on record for the earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a leading player in the consumer staples sector, specifically in the soft drinks and non-alcoholic beverages industry. The company is known for its energy drinks, which have gained popularity among consumers, particularly younger demographics, as demand for energy-boosting products continues to rise.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Monster reported an EPS of $0.51, exceeding expectations by 3.24%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.46% the following day.
EPS beat streak
6Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
+3.71%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.02%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Monster's upcoming earnings, expecting solid growth in both EPS and revenue. The consensus estimates suggest continued strong demand for energy drinks.
Bull case
If Monster can beat EPS estimates and show strong revenue growth, it may indicate robust consumer demand and effective marketing strategies, potentially driving the stock higher.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about market saturation and competition, leading to a negative reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.53Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well Monster has managed costs and revenue growth.
Revenue
$2.2BRevenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and market demand for Monster's products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Monster's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.53?
A beat on EPS could signal strong operational performance and consumer demand, which would likely boost investor confidence.
Q2
What guidance will Monster provide for revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?
Guidance on revenue will be crucial for assessing future growth prospects and could influence market sentiment significantly.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±14.3%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for Monster to exceed revenue expectations due to strong brand loyalty and innovative marketing strategies.
Supporting evidence
Monster has consistently surprised on EPS in recent quarters, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages suggest, indicating potential for greater volatility.
Recent trends in energy drink consumption suggest a growing market that Monster is well-positioned to capitalize on.
Key risk
If revenue growth comes in below $2.1B, it could challenge the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Monster can sustain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and changing consumer preferences.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.55 or higher would confirm strong demand and effective cost management.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.50 would raise concerns about market challenges and operational inefficiencies.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±7.34%
Historical Avg
±1.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±9.7% while MNST has averaged ±1.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
23.5%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples
Fade rate: 7 of 21 (33%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 14 of 21 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.0%, with a raw directional average of +1.0% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
69.55%
of float
Insider
28.30%
of float
Holders
1,915
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
120,058,350 sh · $5.1B
12.26%
-4.7%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Monster beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.16% on average the following day, confirming a positive outlook.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors.
Miss
A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 0.06% when expectations are not met.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
2
2 buys·0 sells
Members
2
House only
Est. Notional
$2,002.00–$30,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
1 trade
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
91,365,464 sh · $3.9B
9.33%
0.6%
State Street Corporation
72,165,202 sh · $3.1B
7.37%
-4.9%
Invesco Ltd.
65,370,958 sh · $2.8B
6.67%
-3.4%
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
59,439,586 sh · $2.5B
6.07%
4.7%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net buying
1 trade
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 17, 2026 · disclosed Aug 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Jun 17, 2026 · disclosed Jul 26, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.