Equity Profile

MTDR

Matador Resources Company

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$6.7B

May6Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:15 PM EDT

Matador Resources Company Beats on EPS, Stock Down 8.22%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.53	$1.37	+23.09%
Revenue	—	$900M	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Matador Resources Company Beats on EPS, Stock Down 8.22%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.53	$1.37	+23.09%
Revenue	—	$900M	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Matador Resources Company reported better-than-expected earnings per share, but did not provide revenue figures or guidance. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 8.22%, which may indicate investor concerns despite the earnings beat. The lack of revenue information and guidance could have contributed to the stock's decline.

Company Snapshot

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is an energy company focused on oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $8 billion, it plays a significant role in the energy sector, which is influenced by global oil prices and demand trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

$1.37

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and market demand for Matador's products.

$900M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.71%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter (Q4-2025), Matador reported an EPS of $0.87, exceeding expectations by nearly 10%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Matador to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, with a consensus EPS of $1.37 for Q1-2026. Revenue expectations are also high, with a consensus of $900 million.

Bull Case

If Matador can leverage higher oil prices and efficient operations, it may exceed earnings expectations, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if operational challenges or lower oil prices impact results, the company could miss expectations, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.37

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Revenue

$900M

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and market demand for Matador's products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Matador's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.37?

A beat on EPS could reinforce investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

What factors are impacting revenue growth, especially in light of current oil prices?

Understanding revenue drivers is crucial for assessing the company's future performance and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising oil prices on Matador's profitability, which could lead to a significant earnings beat.

Supporting Evidence

Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates over the last eight quarters, indicating strong operational management.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Recent trends in oil prices have been favorable, which could boost revenue beyond consensus expectations.

Key Risk

If oil prices fall significantly before the earnings report, it could lead to a downward revision in earnings expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Matador can maintain its profitability in a fluctuating oil market.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.10 would confirm the bear case, suggesting operational or market challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.27%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±6.3% while MTDR has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

46.1%

Calls (19K)P/C Ratio: 0.67Puts (5K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matador beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.32%, confirming the company's strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

An inline result may lead to a muted reaction, as investors digest management's commentary on future outlook.

Miss

If Matador misses expectations, the stock could decline, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 0.04%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production levels and operational efficiency.
2Insights into how current oil prices are affecting margins.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth.
4Details on any cost management initiatives.
5Responses to market conditions and competitive landscape.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

$1.37

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and market demand for Matador's products.

$900M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.71%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter (Q4-2025), Matador reported an EPS of $0.87, exceeding expectations by nearly 10%. However, the stock saw a slight decline the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Matador to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, with a consensus EPS of $1.37 for Q1-2026. Revenue expectations are also high, with a consensus of $900 million.

Bull Case

If Matador can leverage higher oil prices and efficient operations, it may exceed earnings expectations, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if operational challenges or lower oil prices impact results, the company could miss expectations, leading to a negative market reaction.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.37

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Revenue

$900M

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and market demand for Matador's products.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Matador's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.37?

A beat on EPS could reinforce investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.

What factors are impacting revenue growth, especially in light of current oil prices?

Understanding revenue drivers is crucial for assessing the company's future performance and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising oil prices on Matador's profitability, which could lead to a significant earnings beat.

Supporting Evidence

Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates over the last eight quarters, indicating strong operational management.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

Recent trends in oil prices have been favorable, which could boost revenue beyond consensus expectations.

Key Risk

If oil prices fall significantly before the earnings report, it could lead to a downward revision in earnings expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Matador can maintain its profitability in a fluctuating oil market.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.10 would confirm the bear case, suggesting operational or market challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.27%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±6.3% while MTDR has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

46.1%

Calls (19K)P/C Ratio: 0.67Puts (5K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matador beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.32%, confirming the company's strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

An inline result may lead to a muted reaction, as investors digest management's commentary on future outlook.

Miss

If Matador misses expectations, the stock could decline, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 0.04%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production levels and operational efficiency.
2Insights into how current oil prices are affecting margins.
3Management's outlook on future revenue growth.
4Details on any cost management initiatives.
5Responses to market conditions and competitive landscape.