Equity Profile

OBDC

Blue Owl Capital Corporation

FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks$5.9B

Aug5Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a financial services firm that specializes in asset management and custody banking. With a market cap of $6 billion, it plays a significant role in managing investments and providing financial solutions, which are critical in today's evolving financial landscape.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's ability to attract and retain clients in a competitive market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

OBDC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-6.80%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.11%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Blue Owl reported an EPS of $0.31, falling short of the estimated $0.35. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.26% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Blue Owl's upcoming earnings are uncertain due to the lack of analyst estimates and mixed performance in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If the company can demonstrate improved profitability and revenue growth, it could regain investor confidence and drive the stock price higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if earnings continue to miss expectations, it may lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

EPS is a crucial measure of profitability, and a significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

How has AUM changed compared to last quarter?

Changes in AUM can indicate the firm's competitive position and ability to attract new clients, which are vital for future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Blue Owl to improve its EPS significantly this quarter, given recent cost-cutting measures.

Supporting Evidence

The company's historical EPS surprises show a pattern of volatility that could lead to a positive surprise this quarter.

Options pricing indicates a high expected move, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news or changes.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly shift investor sentiment and lead to a positive reevaluation of the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Blue Owl can turn around its recent earnings performance and show growth in AUM.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.35 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating improved profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.30 would reinforce the bear case, suggesting ongoing challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±14.88%

Historical Avg

±1.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±14.9% while OBDC has averaged ±1.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

23.3%

Calls (13K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (74K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Blue Owl beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.31% on the day, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.01%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on changes to AUM and client acquisition strategies.
2Details on cost management initiatives and their impact on profitability.
3Insights into market conditions affecting asset management.
4Management's outlook on future earnings and growth prospects.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding recent performance trends.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is essential for understanding the company's ability to attract and retain clients in a competitive market.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

OBDC Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-6.80%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.11%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Blue Owl reported an EPS of $0.31, falling short of the estimated $0.35. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.26% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Blue Owl's upcoming earnings are uncertain due to the lack of analyst estimates and mixed performance in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If the company can demonstrate improved profitability and revenue growth, it could regain investor confidence and drive the stock price higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if earnings continue to miss expectations, it may lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

EPS is a crucial measure of profitability, and a significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

How has AUM changed compared to last quarter?

Changes in AUM can indicate the firm's competitive position and ability to attract new clients, which are vital for future growth.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Blue Owl to improve its EPS significantly this quarter, given recent cost-cutting measures.

Supporting Evidence

The company's historical EPS surprises show a pattern of volatility that could lead to a positive surprise this quarter.

Options pricing indicates a high expected move, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news or changes.

Key Risk

If AUM growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly shift investor sentiment and lead to a positive reevaluation of the stock.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Blue Owl can turn around its recent earnings performance and show growth in AUM.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.35 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating improved profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.30 would reinforce the bear case, suggesting ongoing challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±14.88%

Historical Avg

±1.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±14.9% while OBDC has averaged ±1.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

23.3%

Calls (13K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (74K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Blue Owl beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.31% on the day, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.01%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on changes to AUM and client acquisition strategies.
2Details on cost management initiatives and their impact on profitability.
3Insights into market conditions affecting asset management.
4Management's outlook on future earnings and growth prospects.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding recent performance trends.