Energy·Integrated Oil & Gas·$56.6B
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a major player in the energy sector, primarily involved in oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $56 billion, the company is significant in discussions about energy supply and pricing, especially in light of ongoing shifts toward renewable energy and geopolitical factors affecting oil markets.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.
Oil Production Volume
As a major oil producer, changes in production volume can significantly impact revenue and profitability.
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Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a major player in the energy sector, primarily involved in oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $56 billion, the company is significant in discussions about energy supply and pricing, especially in light of ongoing shifts toward renewable energy and geopolitical factors affecting oil markets.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+39.42%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.30%
In the last quarter, Occidental reported an EPS of $0.05, falling short of expectations, which led to a modest stock increase the following day. The company has shown mixed performance in recent quarters, with some earnings beats followed by stock price declines.
Management Promises & Guidance
Investors are cautiously optimistic about Occidental's upcoming earnings report, given the volatility in oil prices and production levels. However, the lack of analyst estimates adds uncertainty to expectations.
Bull Case
If Occidental can report strong production numbers and improved profitability, it could signal a recovery in operational efficiency and market positioning.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations and shows declining production, it could lead to further stock price pressure.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.
Oil Production Volume
N/AAs a major oil producer, changes in production volume can significantly impact revenue and profitability.
Operating Cash Flow
N/AThis metric indicates the cash generated from operations, which is crucial for funding ongoing projects and dividends.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the reported oil production volume for Q1-2026?
Production levels directly impact revenue and profitability, making this a critical figure for investors.
Q2
How has Occidental managed its operating costs in the current environment?
Cost management is essential for maintaining profitability, especially during periods of fluctuating oil prices.
Why consensus could be wrong
The market may be underestimating the potential for Occidental to capitalize on rising oil prices, despite recent production challenges.
Supporting Evidence
Options are pricing a potential move of 11.14%, suggesting investors expect significant volatility.
The company's historical EPS beat rate of 75% indicates a strong track record of exceeding expectations.
Recent oil price trends have been favorable, which could positively impact revenue.
Key Risk
If production volume exceeds expectations significantly, it could shift market sentiment positively.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around production efficiency and cost management in a volatile oil market.
Bull Confirmed If
A production volume increase of 5% or more compared to the previous quarter would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
A decrease in production volume or a significant miss on EPS would confirm the bear case.
Implied Move
±11.14%
Historical Avg
±1.05%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move in either direction, indicating uncertainty among investors.
Options are pricing a larger move than the stock has historically averaged, suggesting heightened volatility expectations.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Occidental beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.19% on the following day, confirming a positive outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations but management's commentary is cautious, the stock may see muted movement.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history indicates an average decline of around 0.65% in the stock price.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026