Equity Profile

STAG

STAG Industrial, Inc.

Real EstateIndustrial REITs$7.5B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well STAG is managing its properties.

N/A

Occupancy Rate

A high occupancy rate indicates strong demand for STAG's properties, which can lead to increased revenue.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STAG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States. With a market cap of $7 billion, the company plays a significant role in the industrial real estate sector, which has been bolstered by trends in e-commerce and logistics.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, STAG reported an EPS of $0.65, matching analyst expectations. The stock saw a slight increase of 0.20% the following day, indicating stability.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about STAG's upcoming earnings, especially given its consistent EPS performance in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If STAG continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational performance and increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, any sign of declining occupancy rates or stagnant rental income growth could lead to a negative reaction from the market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current occupancy rate and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation, and any decline could signal challenges in attracting tenants.

How has rental income changed compared to last quarter?

Changes in rental income will provide insights into STAG's pricing power and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of ongoing e-commerce growth on STAG's occupancy and rental income, which could lead to stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong management performance.

The industrial real estate sector is benefiting from increased demand for logistics space, which STAG is well-positioned to capture.

Key Risk

If occupancy rates show a significant drop, it could challenge the current bullish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating STAG's ability to maintain strong occupancy and rental income growth amidst economic fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

A rental income growth of over 5% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in occupancy rates below 95% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.44%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential movement in STAG's stock price, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±9.4% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.3%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.10Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Real Estate in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.0% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.09%, confirming ongoing operational strength.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report could lead to a muted response, as investors await further clarity on future guidance.

Miss

If STAG misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.00%, reflecting disappointment in performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on occupancy rates and any changes in tenant demand.
2Details on rental income growth and pricing strategies.
3Management's outlook on the industrial real estate market.
4Any commentary on new acquisitions or property developments.
5Insights into operational efficiencies and cost management.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring and managing industrial properties across the United States....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well STAG is managing its properties.

N/A

Occupancy Rate

A high occupancy rate indicates strong demand for STAG's properties, which can lead to increased revenue.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STAG Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+2.07%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.09%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, STAG reported an EPS of $0.65, matching analyst expectations. The stock saw a slight increase of 0.20% the following day, indicating stability.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about STAG's upcoming earnings, especially given its consistent EPS performance in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If STAG continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational performance and increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, any sign of declining occupancy rates or stagnant rental income growth could lead to a negative reaction from the market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the current occupancy rate and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Occupancy rates are critical for revenue generation, and any decline could signal challenges in attracting tenants.

How has rental income changed compared to last quarter?

Changes in rental income will provide insights into STAG's pricing power and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of ongoing e-commerce growth on STAG's occupancy and rental income, which could lead to stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

STAG has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong management performance.

The industrial real estate sector is benefiting from increased demand for logistics space, which STAG is well-positioned to capture.

Key Risk

If occupancy rates show a significant drop, it could challenge the current bullish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating STAG's ability to maintain strong occupancy and rental income growth amidst economic fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

A rental income growth of over 5% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

A decline in occupancy rates below 95% would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.44%

Historical Avg

±0.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential movement in STAG's stock price, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±9.4% while STAG has averaged ±0.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

20.3%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.10Puts (100)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If STAG beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.09%, confirming ongoing operational strength.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report could lead to a muted response, as investors await further clarity on future guidance.

Miss

If STAG misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.00%, reflecting disappointment in performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on occupancy rates and any changes in tenant demand.
2Details on rental income growth and pricing strategies.
3Management's outlook on the industrial real estate market.
4Any commentary on new acquisitions or property developments.
5Insights into operational efficiencies and cost management.