Equity Profile

YPF

YPF Sociedad AnÃ³nima

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas$19.4B

Aug4Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

YPF Sociedad Anónima is a major player in the energy sector, focusing on integrated oil and gas operations. With a market cap of $19 billion, it plays a crucial role in energy supply and production, especially in Argentina, where it is a leading energy company.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Expected to be around $1.03

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate how well YPF is expanding its market presence and operational efficiency.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YPF Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-52.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.02%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, YPF reported an EPS of $1.03, exceeding expectations by nearly 25%. However, the stock fell slightly the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiencies.
Commitment to maintaining production levels.
Plans to enhance profitability through cost management.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are cautious as YPF has a mixed earnings history, with recent surprises both positive and negative. Investors are keen to see if the company can maintain its profitability trend.

Bull Case

If YPF can deliver strong EPS and revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in operational performance, leading to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if YPF fails to meet expectations or shows declining production levels, it could reinforce concerns about its long-term viability in a competitive market.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

Expected to be around $1.03

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Revenue Growth

Not available

Revenue growth will indicate how well YPF is expanding its market presence and operational efficiency.

Oil Production Levels

Not available

Production levels are vital for understanding YPF's operational capacity and market competitiveness.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a strong performance could boost investor confidence.

How are oil production levels expected to change?

Production levels directly impact revenue and profitability, making this a key area of focus for investors.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating YPF's ability to improve its cost structure and operational efficiency, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

YPF has shown a recent trend of beating EPS estimates, suggesting potential for continued improvement.

The options market indicates a significant move, which could reflect investor sentiment that is more optimistic than current consensus.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $1.10, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around YPF's ability to sustain profitability and production levels amidst market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.80 or lower would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±22.73%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±22.7% while YPF has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

44.4%

Calls (769K)P/C Ratio: 0.56Puts (25K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If YPF beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.22%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 1.30%, reinforcing existing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on oil production forecasts.
2Details on cost management strategies.
3Insights into market demand for oil and gas.
4Management's outlook on future profitability.
5Responses to any regulatory changes impacting operations.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Expected to be around $1.03

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate how well YPF is expanding its market presence and operational efficiency.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

YPF Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-52.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.02%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, YPF reported an EPS of $1.03, exceeding expectations by nearly 25%. However, the stock fell slightly the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiencies.
Commitment to maintaining production levels.
Plans to enhance profitability through cost management.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If YPF can deliver strong EPS and revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in operational performance, leading to increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if YPF fails to meet expectations or shows declining production levels, it could reinforce concerns about its long-term viability in a competitive market.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

Expected to be around $1.03

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Revenue Growth

Not available

Revenue growth will indicate how well YPF is expanding its market presence and operational efficiency.

Oil Production Levels

Not available

Production levels are vital for understanding YPF's operational capacity and market competitiveness.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and a strong performance could boost investor confidence.

How are oil production levels expected to change?

Production levels directly impact revenue and profitability, making this a key area of focus for investors.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating YPF's ability to improve its cost structure and operational efficiency, which could lead to better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

YPF has shown a recent trend of beating EPS estimates, suggesting potential for continued improvement.

The options market indicates a significant move, which could reflect investor sentiment that is more optimistic than current consensus.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $1.10, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around YPF's ability to sustain profitability and production levels amidst market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.80 or lower would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±22.73%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±22.7% while YPF has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

44.4%

Calls (769K)P/C Ratio: 0.56Puts (25K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If YPF beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.22%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 1.30%, reinforcing existing concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on oil production forecasts.
2Details on cost management strategies.
3Insights into market demand for oil and gas.
4Management's outlook on future profitability.
5Responses to any regulatory changes impacting operations.