Equity Profile

STWD

Starwood Property Trust, Inc.

FinancialsMortgage REITs$6.3B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on originating, acquiring, and managing a diversified portfolio of real estate-related investments....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its business and generate income from its investments.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STWD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on originating, acquiring, and managing a diversified portfolio of real estate-related investments. With a market cap of $6 billion, the company plays a significant role in the financial sector, particularly in mortgage financing, which is crucial for the housing market and broader economy.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

-3.64%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.07%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Starwood reported an EPS of $0.39, slightly missing the estimate of $0.40, which led to a 1.66% decline in stock price the following day. The company has shown mixed results in previous quarters, with a history of both beating and missing earnings estimates.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on maintaining a diversified investment portfolio.
Commitment to managing risk in a volatile market.
Plans to enhance operational efficiencies.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Starwood's upcoming earnings report, especially given its mixed performance in recent quarters. The market is looking for signs of stability in earnings and revenue growth.

Bull Case

If Starwood can exceed earnings expectations and demonstrate solid revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in its business operations, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings estimates or shows signs of declining revenue, it could lead to further stock price declines and investor disappointment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure is crucial as it directly impacts investor confidence and stock performance, especially after recent misses.

How does Starwood plan to manage its portfolio in the current economic environment?

Management's strategy for navigating market challenges will be key to understanding future performance and risk management.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Starwood to stabilize its earnings and improve revenue, particularly given its diversified portfolio.

Supporting Evidence

Starwood has a history of bouncing back after misses, which could indicate resilience.

The options market is pricing in a large move, suggesting that traders expect significant news or changes.

Management's focus on risk management could lead to better-than-expected results.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in above $0.42, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is under scrutiny due to previous misses and the need for clear signs of recovery in earnings and revenue.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.42 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating a strong recovery in earnings.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.39 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.37%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 8.37%, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±8.4% while STWD has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

17.5%

Calls (56K)P/C Ratio: 0.35Puts (109K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options rich in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Financials in the last 2 years. 19 of 30 (63%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +0.1% (roughly flat historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Starwood beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.84%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 1.21%, reflecting continued concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on portfolio management strategies in the current economic climate.
2Details on expected dividend payouts and their sustainability.
3Insights into revenue growth projections for the upcoming quarters.
4Management's commentary on risk factors affecting the mortgage market.
5Any guidance on operational efficiencies and cost management.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on originating, acquiring, and managing a diversified portfolio of real estate-related investments....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its business and generate income from its investments.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

STWD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

-3.64%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.07%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on maintaining a diversified investment portfolio.
Commitment to managing risk in a volatile market.
Plans to enhance operational efficiencies.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Starwood can exceed earnings expectations and demonstrate solid revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in its business operations, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings estimates or shows signs of declining revenue, it could lead to further stock price declines and investor disappointment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure is crucial as it directly impacts investor confidence and stock performance, especially after recent misses.

How does Starwood plan to manage its portfolio in the current economic environment?

Management's strategy for navigating market challenges will be key to understanding future performance and risk management.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Starwood to stabilize its earnings and improve revenue, particularly given its diversified portfolio.

Supporting Evidence

Starwood has a history of bouncing back after misses, which could indicate resilience.

The options market is pricing in a large move, suggesting that traders expect significant news or changes.

Management's focus on risk management could lead to better-than-expected results.

Key Risk

If EPS comes in above $0.42, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is under scrutiny due to previous misses and the need for clear signs of recovery in earnings and revenue.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.42 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating a strong recovery in earnings.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.39 would confirm the bear case, suggesting ongoing challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±8.37%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 8.37%, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±8.4% while STWD has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

17.5%

Calls (56K)P/C Ratio: 0.35Puts (109K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options rich in Financials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 30 (37%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Starwood beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.84%, confirming a positive trend.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 1.21%, reflecting continued concerns about the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on portfolio management strategies in the current economic climate.
2Details on expected dividend payouts and their sustainability.
3Insights into revenue growth projections for the upcoming quarters.
4Management's commentary on risk factors affecting the mortgage market.
5Any guidance on operational efficiencies and cost management.