Equity Profile

USFD

US Foods Holding Corp.

Consumer StaplesFood Distributors$18.0B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

US Foods Holding Corp. is a major food distributor in the consumer staples sector, supplying food products to restaurants, healthcare facilities, and other foodservice operations....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates how well the company is expanding its business and capturing market share.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

USFD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

US Foods Holding Corp. is a major food distributor in the consumer staples sector, supplying food products to restaurants, healthcare facilities, and other foodservice operations. As a key player in the food distribution industry, its performance can reflect broader trends in consumer spending and food service demand.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.33%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.75%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, US Foods reported an EPS of $0.78, beating estimates by 4%. However, the stock fell by 5.62% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about US Foods' upcoming earnings, given its track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance may lead to uncertainty.

Bull Case

If US Foods continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, any signs of slowing revenue growth or increased costs could raise concerns about profitability, potentially leading to a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be critical in assessing overall performance and market sentiment.

How is revenue growth trending in the current economic environment?

Understanding revenue growth is essential for evaluating the company's ability to navigate potential challenges in the food distribution sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may be underestimating US Foods' ability to maintain profitability despite rising costs, as historical data shows consistent EPS beats.

Supporting Evidence

US Foods has a 100% EPS beat rate in recent quarters, indicating strong operational management.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations that may not be justified.

Recent trends in the food service industry indicate a rebound in demand that could benefit US Foods.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment in the market.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on the balance between maintaining profitability and managing costs amid economic pressures.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.70 would support the bear case, suggesting potential issues with profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.47%

Historical Avg

±4.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.5% while USFD has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

28.9%

Calls (500)P/C Ratio: 49.00Puts (59K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 18 of 27 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.8% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If US Foods beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.75%, confirming strong operational momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 5.62%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies in response to inflation.
2Details on customer demand trends in the food service sector.
3Insights into supply chain stability and potential impacts on operations.
4Comments on competitive positioning within the food distribution market.
5Any forward-looking statements regarding revenue growth expectations.

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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

US Foods Holding Corp. is a major food distributor in the consumer staples sector, supplying food products to restaurants, healthcare facilities, and other foodservice operations....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates how well the company is expanding its business and capturing market share.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

USFD Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.33%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.75%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, US Foods reported an EPS of $0.78, beating estimates by 4%. However, the stock fell by 5.62% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about US Foods' upcoming earnings, given its track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance may lead to uncertainty.

Bull Case

If US Foods continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational efficiency and demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, any signs of slowing revenue growth or increased costs could raise concerns about profitability, potentially leading to a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be critical in assessing overall performance and market sentiment.

How is revenue growth trending in the current economic environment?

Understanding revenue growth is essential for evaluating the company's ability to navigate potential challenges in the food distribution sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may be underestimating US Foods' ability to maintain profitability despite rising costs, as historical data shows consistent EPS beats.

Supporting Evidence

US Foods has a 100% EPS beat rate in recent quarters, indicating strong operational management.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations that may not be justified.

Recent trends in the food service industry indicate a rebound in demand that could benefit US Foods.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment in the market.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on the balance between maintaining profitability and managing costs amid economic pressures.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.70 would support the bear case, suggesting potential issues with profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.47%

Historical Avg

±4.4%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.5% while USFD has averaged ±4.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

28.9%

Calls (500)P/C Ratio: 49.00Puts (59K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 27 (33%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If US Foods beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.75%, confirming strong operational momentum.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but cautious commentary is provided, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 5.62%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies in response to inflation.
2Details on customer demand trends in the food service sector.
3Insights into supply chain stability and potential impacts on operations.
4Comments on competitive positioning within the food distribution market.
5Any forward-looking statements regarding revenue growth expectations.